Aluminij vs ND Bilje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
2º
37
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
11 - 0
SDB
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
NKD
3 - 2
ALU
28%
24%
49%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
4 - 1
DEK
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 2
ALU
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
FUZ
0 - 1
ALU
26%
24%
51%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ND Bilje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BIL
1 - 2
ROG
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 1
BIL
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BIL
3 - 5
KRS
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
KRK
3 - 1
BIL
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BIL
1 - 1
NKP
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |