Aluminij vs Bela Krajina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
ALU
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ALU
5 - 0
NKD
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NKD
1 - 1
ALU
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ALU
4 - 0
KRS
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bela Krajina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 1
SMA
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 2
MUR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NKD
4 - 1
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
NKD
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |