Aluminij vs NK Bravo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
10º
10º
50
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
NSM
3 - 1
ALU
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
ALU
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
RAD
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
ALU
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
MAR
24%
26%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
RAD
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
DOM
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |