Aluche vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALU
1 - 1
PNT
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GSC
0 - 2
ALU
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 0
LUG
63%
21%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
ALU
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALU
1 - 0
ALA
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
ADP
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PNT
1 - 0
CAR
27%
25%
49%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GSC
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
CAR
10%
18%
73%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
MOS
59%
23%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |