Aluche vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 1
ALU
32%
25%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 3
PAR
24%
23%
54%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 3
ALU
53%
24%
22%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 1
RMC
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RVM
0 - 1
ALU
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CDF
0 - 2
CAR
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PNT
0 - 0
CDF
61%
22%
17%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDF
3 - 1
GSC
59%
21%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 3
CDF
43%
25%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDF
1 - 0
MOS
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |