AFC Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Altyn Asyr vs April 25 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 2
BFT
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
APR
2 - 2
ALT
10%
13%
77%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
EFT
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 3
ALT
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 1
ALT
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +14 |
Matches
April 25
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
APR
2 - 2
ALT
10%
13%
77%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
APR
9 - 1
LCS
13%
15%
72%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +10 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
LCS
0 - 2
APR
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
APR
5 - 1
AIR
71%
17%
11%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HWA
0 - 2
APR
15%
17%
69%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |