Altstätten vs Mels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altstätten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 0
ALT
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
WID
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 5
WOH
12%
17%
72%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 0
KRE
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 0
FRE
29%
21%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 6
SVS
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
MEL
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SEU
3 - 0
MEL
52%
21%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 2
MEL
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 2
FCO
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |