Altrincham vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TOW
3 - 2
ALT
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 4
EAS
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 1
ALT
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 3
NEW
30%
27%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FLE
3 - 1
ALT
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 2
BOS
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
WOR
3 - 1
HIN
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
TOW
2 - 0
WOR
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 1
HYD
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NUN
2 - 1
WOR
61%
23%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |