Altrincham vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
GAI
5 - 4
ALT
27%
24%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 2
LEA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
STA
0 - 5
ALT
27%
23%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALT
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
ALT
5 - 0
STA
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
HIS
1 - 2
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
6 - 1
WOR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
GLO
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 1
WOR
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |