Altrincham vs Welling United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
5 - 0
ALT
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
KID
4 - 0
ALT
56%
22%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 3
EAS
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALT
29%
22%
49%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 1
DAR
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Welling United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 1
GAT
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 0
LIN
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 1
WEL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 1
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 0
WEL
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |