Altrincham vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 1
ALT
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
KID
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
FAR
47%
23%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 2
ALT
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALT
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 3
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BLY
1 - 4
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 1
SOU
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 2
SOU
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 0
GLO
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |