Altrincham vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
ALT
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 0
ALD
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
ALT
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 3
GAT
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 0
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 0
GUI
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 0
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 3
WEL
67%
19%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
GRI
1 - 0
SOU
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
HAL
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |