Altrincham vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GAT
0 - 2
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 1
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OXF
1 - 2
ALT
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 1
ALT
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
6 - 1
EBB
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 1
DAG
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 1
MAI
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WEA
1 - 1
OLD
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KID
1 - 2
OLD
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
4 - 0
OXF
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |