Altrincham vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
ALT
0 - 2
AFC
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BAT
2 - 2
ALT
58%
24%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HAY
0 - 1
ALT
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ALT
1 - 0
FLE
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HIS
3 - 0
ALT
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
WRE
1 - 0
LUT
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
LUT
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LUT
3 - 1
BAT
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
LUT
6 - 1
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 4
LUT
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |