Altrincham vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 0
ALT
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 0
HAL
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
WHI
1 - 1
ALT
38%
24%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 0
RUS
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ALT
5 - 1
NAN
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HAL
4 - 3
LAN
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 1
FAR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SUT
0 - 2
LAN
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
5 - 1
LAN
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SLA
2 - 1
LAN
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |