Altrincham vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 2
BUR
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 3
ALT
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 3
ALT
65%
19%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 3
GUI
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 1
ALT
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 4
GAI
25%
23%
53%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
HIN
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 5
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -3 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GAI
5 - 0
HIN
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 3
GLO
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |