Altrincham vs Hinckley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 1
BLY
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
ALT
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
BLY
1 - 1
ALT
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
5 - 2
TOW
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 2
ALT
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 1
GUI
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
COR
0 - 2
HIN
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TOW
2 - 1
HIN
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
LUT
3 - 0
HIN
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HIN
5 - 5
STA
30%
24%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |