National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Altrincham vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HIS
0 - 5
ALT
14%
19%
68%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
5 - 1
VAU
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
STO
0 - 0
ALT
27%
22%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
ALT
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
HED
2 - 2
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
HED
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HED
4 - 0
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 2
HED
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HED
3 - 2
GUI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |