Altrincham vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 2
ALT
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 4
ALT
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 4
COL
59%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
DRO
3 - 1
ALT
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
ALT
5 - 1
DRO
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BIS
3 - 4
TOW
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TOW
0 - 0
HIS
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
TOW
0 - 4
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NUN
2 - 0
TOW
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 2
TOW
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |