Altrincham vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
BLY
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 1
ALT
26%
25%
50%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 1
CUR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
ALT
3 - 0
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CUR
0 - 1
ALT
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GUI
0 - 1
CHE
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 1
GUI
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
YOR
1 - 2
GUI
63%
21%
15%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
FAR
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
GUI
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |