Altrincham vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 1
ALT
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 0
GLO
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
ALT
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 2
OXF
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 1
ALT
34%
25%
42%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 2
HED
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 0
GUI
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |