Altrincham vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
ALT
45%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 2
OXF
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 1
ALT
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 2
HIS
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 2
ALT
25%
23%
53%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 3
BOS
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
GLO
2 - 2
BRA
18%
23%
60%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
4 - 2
GLO
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
GLO
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 1
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |