Altrincham vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
STO
1 - 1
ALT
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 2
ALT
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
RUS
2 - 0
ALT
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
5 - 1
SLA
63%
20%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HAL
0 - 2
ALT
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
SUT
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
COA
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
RFC
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 0
BAR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |