Altrincham vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 3
ALT
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
ALT
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
BRA
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
6 - 0
DRO
81%
13%
7%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 0
HAL
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRA
25%
25%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
4 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 4
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |