Altrincham vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
WAR
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RFC
0 - 2
ALT
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
ALT
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 4
WIT
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
COA
0 - 3
ALT
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SLA
0 - 0
ASH
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
ASH
1 - 0
STO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
WIT
1 - 1
ASH
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ASH
3 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
ASH
2 - 0
SUT
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |