Altrincham vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 1
MAT
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STA
0 - 2
ALT
43%
22%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 0
MOR
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 1
BOS
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 2
GAI
37%
23%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
UNM
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHO
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 3
ROC
71%
16%
12%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 3
WOR
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |