Altos vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
78.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PIC
0 - 0
ALT
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 1
PIA
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 2
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 1
ECT
86%
10%
5%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 1
MAR
63%
19%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
POR
2 - 3
VAS
8%
19%
73%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 0
OPE
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
CAB
82%
13%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAS
9%
20%
71%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |