Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 3-3
Altos vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 0
TMI
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
ALT
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 0
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
IAP
1 - 0
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
YAP
0 - 4
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
COR
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
TMI
0 - 1
SAN
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALT
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |