Altos vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
JCA
1 - 2
ALT
34%
23%
44%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
MOT
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 1
SAO
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
PIA
0 - 2
ALT
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
RIV
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 0
JCA
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 2
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SIN
0 - 2
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 1
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | -2 |