Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-1
Altos vs Princesa Solimões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
ALT
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
CAM
65%
21%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 2
ALT
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
RIV
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
TOC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
ALT
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
PRI
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
PRI
70%
20%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 0
MEC
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |