Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 5-4
Altos vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
SDS
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 2
ALT
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
MOT
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALT
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAC
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
RDA
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
NAC
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
REC
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 1
NAC
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |