Altos vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALT
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 1
CEN
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 0
ALT
62%
23%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 4
UNI
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALT
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 3
CEN
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
UNI
18%
25%
57%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
UNI
4 - 3
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
ALT
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |