Altos vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
73.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
ALT
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
CON
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
FPI
0 - 2
ALT
49%
23%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 1
FLA
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CEA
12%
21%
68%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 1
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 1
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
COT
0 - 2
CEA
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |