Altos vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
ALT
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
7 - 1
FLA
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
3 - 0
ALT
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 1
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FPI
0 - 1
ALT
28%
22%
50%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
4DE
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AAO
1 - 1
4DE
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
5 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 0
FLA
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |