Altos vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
3 - 1
RIO
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
ALT
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
ALT
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 0
ALT
24%
25%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
SAN
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
4DE
2 - 1
RIV
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
4DE
0 - 0
FLA
66%
21%
14%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
ECT
0 - 3
4DE
12%
16%
72%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
4DE
1 - 0
PIC
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |