Altos vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
ALT
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 4
FER
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
ALT
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 2
ALT
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -3 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
4DE
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 1
FER
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
4DE
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
4DE
0 - 2
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
4DE
63%
20%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |