Piauiense Inicial Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Altos vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
3 - 1
ALT
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
ALT
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
NAU
11%
16%
73%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 3
ALT
14%
20%
65%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
5 - 2
ALT
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
3 - 1
ALT
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 1
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
4DE
1 - 1
PIA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 0
4DE
57%
21%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |