Altona Magic vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
13º
8º
35
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
STA
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AVH
4 - 0
ALM
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
ALM
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
ALM
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
HEU
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MNG
1 - 2
MEL
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 5
HUM
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 1
MEL
11%
16%
72%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 2
DAC
72%
16%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |