Altona Magic vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
13º
8º
51
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altona Magic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
OAK
5 - 0
ALM
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
ALM
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
BEN
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
15%
23%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 1
OAK
10%
19%
71%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +4 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
HEU
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MDT
0 - 3
HEU
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
3 - 2
MEL
36%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
14%
22%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |