Altona 93 vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altona 93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WEI
4 - 2
ALT
81%
13%
5%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 3
HOL
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 2
STP
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
DRO
2 - 1
ALT
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 4
FCP
25%
21%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
STP
1 - 0
LUB
27%
24%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DRO
3 - 0
LUB
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
S04
2 - 0
LUB
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LUB
2 - 2
FCP
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HEI
0 - 2
LUB
9%
18%
73%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |