Alfter vs Deutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BWF
1 - 0
ALT
57%
20%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
H05
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VFL
0 - 1
ALT
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
ALT
43%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DUR
5 - 2
ALT
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPF
1 - 1
SVD
45%
22%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SVD
2 - 5
BWF
61%
19%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SVD
3 - 2
SIE
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
H05
3 - 0
SVD
64%
17%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SVD
3 - 2
BFR
32%
21%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |