Alfter vs SV Breinig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BWF
3 - 0
ALT
11%
16%
73%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALT
2 - 0
HER
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
H05
1 - 1
ALT
53%
21%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 1
VIA
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VFL
2 - 2
ALT
26%
21%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SV Breinig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SVB
0 - 0
BFR
16%
19%
64%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
SVB
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SVB
1 - 1
GEW
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
1 - 0
SVB
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SVB
0 - 4
EUR
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |