Alfter vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SVD
4 - 1
ALT
48%
20%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MER
5 - 3
ALT
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALT
4 - 2
VFL
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
ALT
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BER
2 - 1
ALT
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 1
BWF
44%
22%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 2
H05
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BFR
2 - 2
HUR
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 3
VIA
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SVB
2 - 4
HUR
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |