Alfter vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GEW
0 - 5
ALT
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
ALT
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 2
BFR
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
BER
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
H05
3 - 5
ALT
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
HUR
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 1
WEG
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BWF
1 - 0
HUR
15%
18%
68%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
6 - 0
VLR
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
1 - 4
HUR
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |