Alfter vs Hilal Maroc Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
SCB
1 - 1
ALT
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
GER
3 - 1
ALT
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 2
BSC
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
WEG
2 - 3
ALT
69%
16%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
5 - 0
GEW
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
HIL
2 - 1
BSC
17%
20%
62%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
WEG
5 - 1
HIL
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HIL
4 - 1
GEW
17%
20%
62%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +4 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
EUR
1 - 0
HIL
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HIL
3 - 1
TRO
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |