Alfter vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VFL
0 - 1
ALT
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
ALT
43%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DUR
5 - 2
ALT
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 4
BER
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
SPF
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
H05
1 - 0
BWF
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
H05
3 - 0
SVD
64%
17%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VFL
0 - 3
H05
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
DUR
2 - 2
H05
21%
19%
60%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 1
H05
37%
21%
41%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |