Alfter vs Germania Erftstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
BFR
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
EUR
1 - 1
ALT
66%
18%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
SCB
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VIA
2 - 2
ALT
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 1
WEG
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Germania Erftstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
HEW
49%
22%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
GER
2 - 1
VIA
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GER
1 - 3
HIL
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 1
GER
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GER
1 - 1
WES
54%
22%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |