Alfter vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BER
4 - 1
ALT
10%
16%
75%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 0
SCB
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 1
GER
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 2
BFR
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
HEW
0 - 5
ALT
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BER
1 - 1
HEW
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BFR
2 - 0
BER
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
VIA
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
BSC
2 - 0
BER
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BER
0 - 2
VFL
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -2 |