Altay vs Buca FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALT
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 0
SIL
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALT
0 - 0
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 2
ALT
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 2
ERZ
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 1
MAL
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
TIR
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 0
ARS
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TIR
3 - 2
TRA
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ERZ
1 - 1
TIR
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |