Altay vs Karaköprü Bld. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
17º
17º
16
15º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 49 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 47 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 41 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
11 | 30 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 11 |
18º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
64.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ISK
4 - 0
ALT
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 1
KBS
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BAT
5 - 0
ALT
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
3 - 3
FET
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUZ
2 - 1
ALT
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Karaköprü Bld.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 5
BAT
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FET
1 - 0
KAR
56%
24%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
TUZ
19%
25%
57%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 1
KAR
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
ANK
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |